Energy markets are riding a rollercoaster in 2026 - and your business is paying for it.
We understand how it feels to be at the mercy of global events beyond your control. It's an unnerving situation at best, highly damaging for business at worst.
Geopolitical events in the Middle East continue to affect your small business from afar, but how long can we expect prices to remain high?
Troo energy trading expert Melvyn Wilson offers weekly guidance to help break down the major forces driving wholesale energy prices this week.
TL;DR:
US-Iran conflict remains the dominant driver of prices.
Tensions continue in the Strait of Hormuz.
Fragile diplomatic negotiations remain critical to prices.
Week commencing Monday 24th August 2026
Energy markets rose sharply over the week, with short-term gas prices reaching their highest levels since 2022 as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continued to dominate the markets.
Ongoing disruption and uncertainty surrounding the Strait of Hormuz, combined with persistently low European gas storage levels and concerns over winter supply security, outweighed improving LNG supply data.
While increased LNG imports into Europe offered some relief, the market remained focused on potential supply risks and the impact of any further escalation in US-Iran tensions
Geopolitical events: Negotiations between the US and Iran remained deadlocked throughout the week. Markets remained sceptical that a resolution or full restoration of LNG flows was imminent.
Looking ahead, market direction is likely to remain heavily influenced by developments in the Middle East, particularly any changes to shipping activity through the Strait of Hormuz and the implementation of further US sanctions on Iran.
Although rising LNG imports and improving storage injections are helping to ease some supply concerns, European inventory levels remain historically low for this time of year.
As a result, gas and power markets are expected to remain sensitive to geopolitical headlines, with winter supply security continuing to keep prices high.
The world is changing. It can be scary. You know you need to stay on top of the news, but that can be difficult while focusing on running your business and serving your customers.
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